IPL Playoff Scenarios: with 15 matches to go, mi have 75% chance of progressing – Odds for each team explained

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IPL Playoff Scenarios: with 15 matches to go, mi have 75% chance of progressing - Odds for each team explained
Mumbai Indians Captain Hardik Pandya with Teammates. (PTI photo)

With 15 games remains in the IPL 2025 League Stage, Chennai Super Kings, Rajasthan Royals and Sunrisers Hyderabad are already out of Contension for the playoffs.
Royal Challengers Bengaluru, Punjab Kings and Gujarat Titans are almost sure to make the knock-out stage and Mumbai Indians are also Super giats and kolkata knight riders slim chances.
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There Remain 32,768 Possible Combinations of Results, So Nothing is for Sure Yet for Any of the Seven remain in the race.
Who’s that IPL Player?
We look at the probables:

TeamBest Case ScenarioWorst Case ScenarioChances (%) of making or tying for top 4Chances (%) of making or tying for top 2
RCBSole topper with 22 pts. Can happy if they win remain games and gt lose at least oneEnd Up 6th. Can happy if they lose all their remain games97.978.6
GtSole topper with 22 pts. Can happy if they win their remains and rcb lose one or moreFinish 7th by losing all remaining games87.254.5
PbksSole topper with 21 pts. Can happy if they win remain games and bot rcb and gt lose at least oneFinish 7th by losing all remaining games90.146.0
MiSole topper with 20 pts. Can happy if they win remain games, rcb and gt lose two each and pbks lose oneFinish 7th by losing all remaining games75.036.1
DcSole topper with 20 pts. Can happy if they win remain games, rcb and gt lose two each and pbks and mi lose one eachFinish 8th by losing all the remain games55.115.2
KkrFinish tied for the top spot with pbks. Can happy if they win remain games, RCB and Gt Lose Two Each, PBKS and Mi Lose One EachFinish joint 8th by losing all the remain games14.01.1
LsgFinish tied 2nd on 16 pts with rcb and eater dc or gt. Can Haappen If they win remain games, rcb lose all of theirs, and dc lose one or gt lose twoFinish 8th by losing all the remain games7.90.1

Ashutosh Sharma Says Dc Aiming for Three Wins to Seal Playoffs Spot

How we Arrive at the Probabilitys: There are 32,768 Possible Combinations of Results Remining with 15 Games to Go. For each team, we look at how many of these ends up with them being amon the top four eater singly or tied. We also look at how many combinations put each team in the top two eite or jointly. For institution, RCB Finish in the top four in 32,072 of the possible combinations of match outcomes, translating to a 97.9% chance. In 25,768 of them they end up first or second, singly or jointly, translating to a 78.6% chance.



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